Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.949604e-05 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000055 0.000064 0.000073
2025-02-16 2.403981e-05 0.000031 0.000040 0.000050 0.000062 0.000076 0.000093
2025-02-23 1.901081e-05 0.000027 0.000037 0.000049 0.000065 0.000083 0.000106
2025-03-02 1.480757e-05 0.000023 0.000033 0.000047 0.000065 0.000087 0.000115
2025-03-09 1.198292e-05 0.000020 0.000031 0.000046 0.000066 0.000091 0.000124
2025-03-16 9.795273e-06 0.000018 0.000029 0.000045 0.000067 0.000095 0.000133
2025-03-23 8.225464e-06 0.000016 0.000028 0.000045 0.000069 0.000100 0.000143
2025-03-30 6.920605e-06 0.000015 0.000026 0.000044 0.000071 0.000105 0.000153
2025-04-06 5.618076e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000043 0.000071 0.000108 0.000160
2025-04-13 4.288348e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000040 0.000068 0.000107 0.000163
2025-04-20 3.410235e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000039 0.000068 0.000109 0.000168
2025-04-27 2.874234e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000039 0.000069 0.000113 0.000177
2025-05-04 2.288694e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000038 0.000071 0.000117 0.000187
2025-05-11 2.103787e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000041 0.000076 0.000128 0.000206
2025-05-18 1.649966e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000040 0.000077 0.000132 0.000217
2025-05-25 1.189055e-06 0.000006 0.000016 0.000038 0.000076 0.000134 0.000222
2025-06-01 8.887636e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000037 0.000076 0.000137 0.000231
2025-06-08 6.580370e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000036 0.000076 0.000140 0.000239
2025-06-15 5.025912e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000036 0.000078 0.000144 0.000250
2025-06-22 3.773216e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000036 0.000079 0.000148 0.000260
2025-06-29 2.556756e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000035 0.000078 0.000150 0.000267
2025-07-06 1.445282e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000032 0.000076 0.000148 0.000268
2025-07-13 8.601859e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000031 0.000075 0.000149 0.000274